Join the Socialist Party Join us today!

Printable version Printable version

Facebook   Twitter

Link to this page:

From The Socialist newspaper, 31 May 2002

GC JAGADISH of New Socialist Alternative (CWI, India), in this edited version, examines the prospects for regional war and puts forward a socialist programme for the Left to stop the conflict.

War Clouds Hang Over India And Pakistan

Only the workers and poor can stop this conflict

INDIA'S RULING elite is making full-scale preparations for war. Troops have been mobilised and the navy has moved five warships from the coast of Andhra Pradesh to the Western coast.

Indian Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee speaking to the soldiers in the forward post of Kupwara, Jammu and Kashmir sector, has exhorted the Jawans (soldiers) to 'be prepared for extreme sacrifices and make history with a decisive victory over the terrorism of Pakistan'.

In Pakistan, General Musharraf has met with his National Defence Council and issued a warning to India that he will meet any military challenge.

Pakistan's former ISI (Inter Services Intelligence agency) chief, Javed Ashraf Qazi, a cabinet minister, has stated: "If Pakistan is being destroyed through conventional means, we will destroy them [India] using the nuclear options..."

After the attack on the Indian army camp in Jammu and Kashmir - allegedly by Lashkar-e-Tayyiba separatist guerrillas, which killed 30 people - US president George Bush called Vajpayee five times in 48 hours to restrain the Indian administration.

The fear of Western powers that the present confrontational situation could escalate into an all-out war is underlined by the long list of European, British and US officials and representatives lining up for visits to the sub-continent.

Although the military build up is nothing new, (both countries were on the verge of war last December) it is the extreme language on both sides that has created fear among the people of Pakistan and India.

Nearly 70 villages on the Indian side of the border have been affected by the current low-scale war. Scores of people have fled from these villages to safety from the cross-border firing. An equal number of villages have been ravaged on the Pakistan side.

This sudden escalation of tensions between these two nuclear countries is a direct consequence of the very weakness of these regimes internally.

In India, the outcry against the sectarian Gujarat massacres (see The Socialist 8/3/02) - which exposed the ruling Hindu chauvinist Bharatiya Janata Party's (BJP) culpability - has put the regime increasingly on the defensive.

Even prior to the Gujarat incidents the BJP's electoral popularity was on the wane. Of the 22 State Assembly and one Union territory elections held since 1998, the BJP and its allies lost in all, except four. One of the very reasons for the BJP to beat the nationalist drum is because it was losing its traditional hard core Hindu votes.

Although a rigged referendum has made Pakistan's General Musharraf President for the next five years, he is holding on to power through the barrel of the gun. But it is only a matter of time before another internal military squabble will break out under the behest of unemployed former ISI chiefs backed by Islamic fundamentalists who are displeased with Musharraf's support for the USA's 'war on terrorism'.


For both Musharraf and the BJP a diversion from day-to-day domestic problems is a necessity. Both regimes have played with such fire in the past but it is entirely a different ball game now, as both have stockpiled nuclear weapons.

The recent attack on the Indian army camp and the assassination of the 'moderate' Kashmiri nationalist Abdul Gani Lone of Hurriat Conference has come in very handy for BJP and its allies to blame Pakistan and the ISI for what they call "cross-border terrorism". While the Indian administration is weighing its options, a full-scale war is unlikely given the nuclear angle and US imperialism's pressure on them.

A commando 'Rambo' style operation crossing the border is being suggested to save face in the situation. But such an adventure could escalate into a full-scale war.

The Parliamentary opposition to the BJP in India is hopelessly ineffectual. Sonia Gandhi's Congress has switched from 'anti-BJP' mode to 'national unity against Pakistan-aggression' jingoistic mode. The Left, i.e. the two 'communist' parties CPI(M) and the CPI, have advised the government to urge the US to act against Musharraf and terrorist groups. So much for their anti-imperialism!

Though this opportunity may be useful for the BJP to solve its sullied image problems in the short term, if the war is on, it will be a disaster, as the Hindu communal forces emboldened by recent events will attack the Muslim minority accusing them of 'extra-territorial loyalty' and of being 'Pakistani agents'.

Even a small scale war or war-like operation will bring the entire sub-continent to the precipice of nuclear holocaust. Only the working class and youth of these countries can stop the war-mongering regimes of India and Pakistan.

The CWI in the region will be actively participate along with other Left forces in anti-war protests and movements.

The New Socialist Alternative (CWI-India) says:

Kashmir: A History Of Conflict

August 1947. India gains independence after strikes, mutinies and hunger strikes forced British imperialism out of the subcontinent. But divisions between Hindus and Muslims, a legacy of British imperialism's divide and rule tactics, led to the partition into India and Pakistan and numerous skirmishes over disputed areas.

October 1947. Kashmir, then ruled by a maharajah (prince) was invaded by Pakistan and then India. War lasted until 1949 when the "line of control" - the border between Indian-occupied (IOK) and Pakistani-occupied Kashmir (POK) - was established. Pakistan gains one-third of Kashmir.

1962. India's war with China leaves China in control of part of Kashmir claimed by India.

1965. War after new border exchanges in Kashmir and Punjab.

1971. India and Pakistan's war over the secession of Bangladesh (the former East Pakistan) sees heavy fighting in Kashmir, ended by new ceasefire and new line of control.

1989-90. Troops fire on independence protesters in IOK which came under direct rule from the Delhi government. India and Pakistan come close to a nuclear "exchange" over Kashmir.

1999. The Kargil mountain war. Tensions escalated over the long disputed 'line of control' as crisis-racked nationalist governments in India and Pakistan - both now nuclear powers - came to the brink of all-out war again.

2001. A devastating suicide bombing outside the state legislature in Srinigar followed by an attack on the Indian parliament in December by Kashmiri separatists, in which 13 were killed including the attackers, led to Pakistan and India again going onto a war footing and triggering a mass exodus from villages along the line of control.

Why not click here to join the Socialist Party, or click here to donate to the Socialist Party.

In The Socialist 31 May 2002:

Stop This Trade In Death

Right-wing attempt coup in PCS

War Clouds Hang Over India And Pakistan

Asylum - Why We Oppose Blair's Plans

Imperialism Restructures Famine


Home   |   The Socialist 31 May 2002   |   Join the Socialist Party

Subscribe   |   Donate  

Related links:


triangleA world in crisis, ripe for revolution

triangleCaerphilly Socialist Party: Are we heading for an era of war?

triangleComprehensive account of bloody conflict

triangleKurdish referendum declared illegal


triangleHackney Socialist Party: 70 years since India-Pakistan partition

triangleInternational Women's Day: taking action against capitalist oppression


triangleTamil Solidarity and Refugee Rights activists meeting

triangleExtreme weather events and global warming


triangleSupport the Crossrail Woolwich walkout


triangleTrump's incendiary Jerusalem statement reignites Israeli-Palestinian conflict





Trump's incendiary Jerusalem statement reignites Israeli-Palestinian conflict



A world in crisis, ripe for revolution



Trump's tax plan: Robin Hood in reverse



Irish capitalist state: rotten to the core



Fighting sexism, violence and capitalism - an international struggle



Trump's tax attacks



Australia: massive yes vote for marriage equality



Zimbabwe: Mugabe gone - but his regime remains in power



USA: Historic vote for Ginger Jentzen campaign in Minneapolis



US: Historic vote for Ginger Jentzen campaign in Minneapolis



Sweden: 'Revolution2017' success



Spain: Madrid rally celebrates October revolution



US: Minneapolis Socialist chimes with voters



Ireland: rail workers demand share of 'recovery'



Ireland: dangerous ideas for the ruling class

triangleMore International articles...

Join the Socialist Party
Subscribe to Socialist Party publications
Donate to the Socialist Party

triangle14 Dec Stop the rotten redevelopment plan, demand residents

triangle13 Dec Six months on - still no justice for Grenfell

triangle13 Dec Movement growing against fracking giant Ineos

triangle13 Dec Totnes MP uses coffin controversy to distract from brutal NHS cuts

triangle13 Dec Trump's incendiary Jerusalem statement reignites Israeli-Palestinian...

triangle13 Dec Labour 'purge' furore really just democracy

EU parliament, Strasbourg

triangle13 Dec Brexit deal no solution to Tory rifts

More ...

triangle18 Dec Leeds Socialist Party: Religion and Socialism

triangle19 Dec Bristol North Socialist Party: Christmas social

triangle21 Dec Wakefield Socialist Party: Socialists and the National Question

triangle6 Jan Socialist Party national women's meeting

More ...

Socialist Party Facebook page
Socialist Party on Twitter
Visit us on Youtube



December 2017

November 2017

October 2017

September 2017

August 2017

July 2017

June 2017

May 2017

April 2017

March 2017

February 2017

January 2017





















Platform setting: = No platform choice